Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.417221 4.827096 5.281713 5.828162 6.473782 7.220919 8.164081
2025-11-23 3.869870 4.413288 5.062070 5.911183 7.021508 8.469007 10.584520
2025-11-30 3.512190 4.110675 4.858773 5.894204 7.347679 9.420532 12.841967
2025-12-07 3.173078 3.775172 4.550303 5.663785 7.305603 9.806205 14.351041
2025-12-14 2.898121 3.489280 4.266969 5.415745 7.175325 10.001323 15.580913
2025-12-21 2.750308 3.354553 4.168627 5.409545 7.395964 10.797211 18.269025
2025-12-28 2.612939 3.220782 4.055873 5.362796 7.535941 11.477335 21.077357
2026-01-04 2.449233 3.038616 3.858202 5.162262 7.384237 11.571080 22.539452
2026-01-11 2.357198 2.949943 3.787774 5.151391 7.555406 12.341617 26.364980
2026-01-18 2.310156 2.920997 3.801423 5.274400 7.984185 13.780887 33.720438
2026-01-25 2.447422 3.166265 4.249020 6.180714 10.125470 20.355916 81.166716
2026-02-01 2.317388 3.006414 4.049904 5.926728 9.812467 20.169127 88.054732
2026-02-08 2.181476 2.842189 3.851167 5.688831 9.576145 20.400837 104.680816
2026-02-15 2.115778 2.782351 3.819039 5.760643 10.074047 23.415037 198.809448
2026-02-22 2.040656 2.702574 3.746502 5.744628 10.361485 25.986058 431.977986
2026-03-01 1.936394 2.571585 3.578875 5.523588 10.089062 26.139239 663.950814
2026-03-08 1.837412 2.444394 3.410302 5.285393 9.732588 25.762238 943.890165
2026-03-15 1.785459 2.388805 3.359888 5.279436 9.990144 28.507943 124243.914655
2026-03-22 1.731166 2.326716 3.294041 5.234510 10.133574 30.917049 NaN
2026-03-29 1.657226 2.230094 3.162896 5.041685 9.822563 30.553881 NaN
2026-04-05 1.616480 2.185238 3.119950 5.031227 10.042116 33.724043 NaN
2026-04-12 1.597518 2.174610 3.136450 5.149534 10.682701 40.994118 NaN
2026-04-19 1.677508 2.330599 3.465850 6.019135 14.225420 99.183163 NaN